Forecasting Future Trrends in Digital Crime And

Forecasting Future Trends in Digital Crime and Digital Terrorism

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Forecasting Future Trends in Digital Crime and Digital Terrorism

Cybercriminal threats that have been going on in the U.S. result in important financial losses. Nevertheless the threat against financial organizations is just a small section of the issue. Likewise of thoughtful concern are considered to be threats to critical substructure, the theft of intellectual property, and supply chain matters. U.S. critical infrastructure faces a mounting cyber threat owing to progressions in the availability and complexity of malevolent software tools and the fact that new technologies are out there raising new security concerns that cannot continuously be addressed previous to adoption. The growing mechanization of our perilous infrastructures delivers more cyber contact points for opponents to abuse. With that said this paper will analyze the forecasts and describe the important factors of each.

Forecast 1:

The number of offenses reported to the police involving computers and electronic storage media will continue to increase substantially, requiring changing priorities for resource allocation, new training for line officers and investigators, new police specialties, and new knowledge for prosecuting attorneys and judges. Hower, the problem comes when they are not equipped enough to handle some of these cases. Some of the law enforcement is swamped with a huge workload which makes it impossible for them to get around to the computer crimes. However, as long as people are buying computers and becoming more familiar with technology, there will continue to rise more and more. A very common form of Internet fraud is the distribution of what is recognized as rogue security software. Internet services can be used to present fraudulent solicitations to prospective victims, to conduct fake transactions, or to transmit the proceeds of fraud to financial organizations or to others that are really related with the scheme.

Forecast 2:

The largest computer crime problem affecting local law enforcement representing the largest number of victims and the largest monetary loss will be Internet fraud, including fraud via identify theft. For instance, the usage of Internet services or software with Internet admission to take advantage of victims or to otherwise take advantage of them, for example by stealing personal material, which can even lead to things such as identity theft which is stealing a person’s self or identity.

Forecast 3:

Virtual crimes against persons will increase at a faster rate compared with past years as a result of the significant expansion in networking, personal computing, and social networking sites. These hybrid crimes, which have coercive characteristics similar to those found in psychological warfare, will require new laws expressly to address the problem and new methodologies for investigation, prevention, and education. For instance, in South Korea, where the amount of computer game players is really huge, some have reported the development of mafia and gangs, where influential players steal and demand that novices provide them virtual money for their “fortification.” In China, Qiu Chengwei was convicted and given a life sentence in prison after stabbing and murdering one of the key players in the game (Robert W. Taylor, 2011). In the game Qiu had gave Zhu a powerful sword which Zhu then sold to eBay for a lot of money.

Forecast 4:

Computer hacker groups will emerge in developing countries around the world, increasing the threat of malicious attacks motivated by religion, politics, and money. For example, Chinese hackers recurrently infiltrated The New York Times’ computer systems recently, stealing reporters’ PINs and then doing things such as hunting for files on an investigation into the wealth combined by the family of a top Chinese leader (Stohl, 2006). The research shows that the security specialists employed to examine and plug the breach discovered that the attacks used strategies comparable to ones used in earlier hacking events that had been traced all the way back to China. It said the hackers directed the attacks by means of computers at U.S. universities, put in a strain of malicious software, connected with Chinese hackers and introduced the attacks from Chinese university computers formerly used by the Chinese military to attack U.S. military contractors (Robert W. Taylor, 2011).

Forecast 5:

Current organized crime groups, predominantly those that are entrepreneurial, will increasingly adopt computerization as a criminal instrument. Research shows that they have discovered a way to sneak in immigrants into the country without being found out; Counterfeit products — which is the vending of things that are man-made such as audio tapes, pocket books, video tapes, and even software for the computer. It is no secret that people are stealing copyrighted information and then selling it to the public for much less. When it comes to the black market the people do not go through the correct channels to get authorization or pay any kind of taxes. These people just go the illegal route to get their wealthy (Stohl, 2006). Theft and fraud is considered to be the way people get personal information of someone and then start using it to their advantage. These days welfare deception is something that is on the rise for the reason that the economy is not is a very good place.

Also it is true that most people wants a piece of the pie and if it takes using anybody information to get money and some kind of assistance from social services. It is also true that Telecommunication fraud involves getting data by means of a telephone, hacking into to the telephone systems, retrieving information through business corporations. Also, sexually related Commerce has some something to do with the positioning of prostitution through the internet. A person can have website where they can purchase a date or even a pimp (Eijkman, 2013). Further information, shows that it used to be where an individual could go on the street and just get one but ever since they started getting busted for looking for prostitutes, they decided to change their game up and go online without leaving their home.

Forecast 6:

Terrorist groups will increasingly use global networking as a tool to accomplish their goals. This includes use of the Internet for recruitment, surreptitious communications, and coordination purposes as well as attempting to use network access to critical infrastructure systems to strike for their cause via the creation chaos, disinformation, and file destruction-cyber terrorism. For instance, at the end of January, Twitter got rid of the account of the Somali-based Al-Qaeda-connected extremist group Al-Shabaab (Eijkman, 2013). The entire account was deactivated after the group posted a video on Twitter threatening to kill two Kenyan hostages if the Kenyan administration refused to meet their demands. Research displays Twitter did not make any comment on the account removal, but social-media specialists coherent that Al-Shabaab had dishonored Twitter’s terms of service, which forbid direct intimidations of violence.

Forecast 7:

The character of espionage will continue to broaden into the arenas of information warfare, economic espionage, and theft of intellectual property. Research shows that the Espionage is frequently part of an official effort by a government or commercial concern. On the other hand, the term is usually related with state spying on potential or actual enemies principally for military drives. For instance, spying involving companies is recognized as business espionage.

Forecast 8:

Criminals terrorist, nation-states, patriots, and anarchists will increasingly use technology-based instruments and methodologies, which can surreptitiously capture data/information or destroy technological communications, information processing, and/or storage appliances. The number and complexity of cyber-attacks has gone up intensely over the past five years and is likely to grow ever more. The threat has touched the point that it will provide more than enough time, incentive and subsidy to the criminal. The unlawful will be able to right of entry any system straight from the internet. Even though, police force agencies has recognized the chief cyber-attacks are still hard for them to keep up with them (Robert W. Taylor, 2011). Technology is altering radically, until it’s hard to keep up with the difficulties that seem to continue on an ordinary foundation.

Digital crime will keep developing for the reason of technology. Research makes the point that the more technology comes out the worse digital crime is going to get. It is to the point now you can use your cellphone to finish up transactions that are illegal (Eijkman, 2013). They are even making tools that are years in advance in fax machines, scanners, copiers, and printers. Everything is turning out to be more and well-organized for behavior that is considered to be criminal. These kinds of things criminals utilize in order to access whatever information or to finish a job that is documented as illegal. Persons say that going online shopping is far better than going to the store but then again, many people’s opinion is neither one of them are suitable.


Ahmad, R. & . (2012). A dynamic cyber terrorism framework. International Journal of Computer Science and Information Security,, 10(2), 149-158.

Eijkman, Q. (2013). Digital security governance and accountability in europe: Ethical dilemmas in terrorism risk management. Journal of Politics and Law,, 6(4), 35-45.

Grabosky, P. (2007). The internet, technology, and organized crime. Asian Journal of Criminology, 2(2), 145-161.

Robert W. Taylor, E.J. (2011). Digital Crime, Digital Terrorism, . Prentice Hall.

Stohl, M. (2006). Cyber terrorism: A clear and present danger, the sum of all fears, breaking point or patriot games? Crime, Law and Social Change, 4(5), 223-238.


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